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  • Back from the brink: Iceland and Ireland

    Iceland and Ireland are on the road to recovery, while Portugal, Italy and Spain plunge further into economic malaise, according to analysts participating in Euromoney’s Country Risk Survey.

    30 Jul 2013
  • Iran: Crippling sanctions tarnish Rouhani’s reform drive

    The economic situation in Iran is likely to deteriorate further as the west steps up its sanctions against the regime, say analysts at the Institute of International Finance.

    23 Jul 2013
  • Germany's quiet economic revolution shows strain

    Rising real wages and consumption have boosted German growth without a corresponding increase in productivity, generating headwinds for economic growth and corporate profitability for years to come, argue analysts at Natixis, the French investment bank.

    21 Jul 2013
  • Don’t forget bank stability, experts warn – MENA Q2 results

    ECR experts remain divided over the perceived risks to banking systems in the MENA region, and with only five of MENA’s 18 countries scoring more than 6.0 out of 10 for this particular risk indicator, it is clear it is not just Europe that has substantial solvency and liquidity issues.

    18 Jul 2013
  • Gulf disparities warrant careful inspection – MENA Q2 results

    Although the Gulf remains the safest bloc within the MENA region, its six constituent countries still display diverse prospects in terms of the three main categories of risk in Euromoney’s survey (see chart).

    18 Jul 2013
  • MENA Q2 results: Politics still the key risk determinant in a region fragmented by conflict

    Country risk continued to increase across the Middle East and North African region during the first half of this year, according to experts taking part in Euromoney’s Country Risk Survey, although the changes in risk scores varied as some countries became safer.

    18 Jul 2013
  • Is Morocco a serious challenger to Israel? – MENA Q2 results

    Israel’s score has shown tremendous volatility so far this year, and has slipped four places in the rankings to 33rd, yet overall several of its key indicators have risen.

    18 Jul 2013
  • Failure to catch up in political terms still harming the region’s prospects – MENA Q2 results

    The wealthier Gulf-based oil and gas producers – underpinned by their strong fiscal and current-account balances – have, in the main, either resisted the plummeting scores seen for Egypt, Tunisia, Libya et al, or still rank comparatively highly for their sovereign safety.

    18 Jul 2013
  • France riskier than Kuwait and Taiwan – ECR analysts

    The decision by Fitch to strip France of its AAA rating confirms its fall from sovereign grace but the belated move is unlikely to trigger a rise in borrowing costs.

    16 Jul 2013
  • Singapore banking downgrade marks an end to Asian resilience

    Declining bank-stability scores across Asia in the second quarter of 2013 highlight rising global macroeconomic risks, as the world’s regional growth engine confronts leverage and financial-imbalance risks, say analysts.

    15 Jul 2013
  • Russia and CIS satellites failing to impress – ECR Q2 2013 results

    With one or two exceptions, the majority of former Soviet independent states, alongside Russia, have become riskier this year, continuing longer-term trends.

    10 Jul 2013
  • Baltics immune to rising risk trend across CEE – ECR Q2 2013 results

    Two-thirds of the region’s 18 countries have seen increased risk since December, not least because of the failure of Cyprus to recover its score decline following the banking crisis.

    10 Jul 2013
  • ECR Survey Results Q2 2013 results: US and Japan pull away from Europe and Brics

    A broad rebalancing of country risk perceptions has taken place this year, according to the June results of Euromoney’s Country Risk Survey.

    10 Jul 2013
  • LatAm favouritism highlights America’s attractions – ECR Q2 2013 results

    Argentina and Venezuela continue long-term score declines; Brazil also slips, but Mexico, Chile, Ecuador and Uruguay lead the improvement to 60% of LatAm’s 20 countries.

    10 Jul 2013
  • Asian risks fragment in light of countervailing trends in China and Japan – ECR Q2 2013 results

    China and Japan’s contrasting trends create a more even split of safer and riskier sovereigns across Asia as 12 countries see lower scores, 10 push higher and six are unchanged.

    10 Jul 2013
  • US/Japan divergence from Europe highlights G10 risk shift – ECR Q2 2013 results

    Among the G10, six countries – all EU member states – became riskier during H1 2013, one (Germany) was unchanged and four (Canada, Japan, Switzerland and the US) became safer.

    10 Jul 2013
  • Africa’s wings clipped as pockets of uncertainty re-emerge – ECR Q2 2013 results

    The southern continent’s risk build-up is underlined by falling scores for South Africa and Zimbabwe, but many other African bond issuers have resisted the downturn.

    10 Jul 2013
  • Eurozone tremors continue to ripple out – ECR Q2 2013 results

    Eurozone slide is maintained with the region’s average score hitting a new low in June, as 10 of the 17 participating member states succumb to further score declines during H1 2013.

    10 Jul 2013
  • MENA fragments along conflict lines – ECR Q2 2013 results

    Ten of the region’s 18 countries have suffered from score declines since December, led by Egypt and other unstable polities.

    10 Jul 2013
  • Egypt’s funding requirements – a time-bomb waiting to explode

    Turmoil places onus on whichever administration holds power to rectify economic imbalances.

    03 Jul 2013
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