Euromoney Country Risk

EUROMONEY COUNTRY RISK

Read the latest analysis on sovereign, geo-political and structural risk

 
Get up to date country risk ratings in 186 countries

Member login



Lost your password?

Euromoney Country Risk

Euromoney Country Risk
List of countries.

Egypt Egypt

Overview Change score Analyses Experts
 
Sponsored section
Egypt

Table of Content


EconomicPoliticalStructural

Egypt – Quick View
ECR score41.63 (Mar 2011)
ECR rank96 (Mar 2011)
Economic
GDP 2010 PUSD 210.97 billion
GNI per capita PPP 2010USD 5,889
FDI inflow 2009USD 6.71 billion
Inflation 2011 (Feb)18.2%
Central bank assets 2009USD 18,781.13 million
Unemployment rate 2010 p8.92%
Government Deficit 2009USD 12320.27 million
Tax revenueUSD 29,146.88 million
Political
Government typeParliamentary Republic
Recent political crisis 2011Public revolution to overthrow government
Economic freedom rank 201196th
Freedom of information rank 2010127th
Corruption perception index 201098th
Structural
Crude Birth Rate 200924 per ‘000
Population balanceUnder 14 – 32.3%
Population balanceOver 60 - male 6.9%
Population balanceOver 60 - female 7.7%
Life expectancy years 201070.5 years
Mortality rate 20106 per ‘000
Literacy rate66%
Internet access 20105.1%

[Top] Economic Overview

Egypt’s economy has shown gradual signs of progress over the decade.

Its main exports are oil and natural gas.

(Source: Heritage.org)

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Egypt GDP (current prices) (LE billion)

P= Projected

(Source: National Statistics(2005-2008),imf.org : select ‘Prepare Report’ (2009))                                                                                               

From 2005 to 2009 Egypt’s GDP has increased consistently from LE 538.5 billion to LE 1,038.60 billion. The GDP was projected at LE 1,198.0 billion in 2010.

GDP growth

 

Egypt GDP growth rate (%)

(Source: Worldbank.org)

GDP growth rate increased from 4.5% in 2005 to 6.8% in 2006. The rate rose marginally from 2006 to 2008. However, from 2008 to 2009, the rate fell sharply from 7.2% to 4.6%.

Gross national income (GNI)

Egypt GNI at PPP (USD)

(Source: undp.org, pg 4)

In the past two decades, from 1990 to 2010, the GNI at PPP grew at a Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.58%. In 2010, the GNI was registered at USD 5,889.

Tax rate

Egypt’s individual income tax rate varies from 10% to 20%.

Income Range (LE)

Tax Rate

Up to 5,000

0%

5,001 to 20,000

10%

20,001 to 40,000

15%

Above 40,000

20%

 

(Source: Tax Rates)

The Corporate Income Tax rate is 20% and The Value-Added Tax (VAT) levied in the country is 10%.

(Source: Tax Rates)

Inflation

 

Egypt Inflation (%)

(Source: National Statistics(2005 to 2009), National Statistics(2010), National Statistics(2011))

Inflation has been fluctuating strongly since 2005. An increase in inflation was witnessed from 4.8% in 2005 to 18.3% in 2008. However, after 2008, it dropped to 11.8% in 2009, and proceeded to drop further to 10.8% in 2010. As of 2011, the rate is recorded at 18.2%.

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Inflow
Egypt FDI (USD billion)

(Source: Worldbank.org)

FDI showed steady rise from 2005 to 2007. Comparatively, from 2007 to 2009, investment inflow fell from USD 11.58 billion to USD 6.71 billion.

Central bank assets

Egypt Central bank assets (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank)

Egypt’s central bank assets recorded continual growth from 2005 to 2009 at a rate of 14.72%. In 2009, total assets amounted to LE 175,104 million.

[Top] Financial Indicators & Government Financial

Consumer price index

Egypt Consumer Price Index

(Source: National Statistics: Excel Sheet)

CPI experienced minor fluctuations, with an overall rise from 2009 to 2011. As of 2011, the index is 110.9.

Interest rates on saving deposits / time deposits (2009)

Interest Rate

(%)

Overnight Deposit Rate

8.25

Overnight Lending Rate

9.75

(Source: Central Bank)

In 2009, overnight deposit rate was 8.25% and overnight lending rate was 9.75%.

Money supply

 

Egypt Currency in circulation (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank)

Egypt’s central bank’s money supply increased steadily from LE 67,241 million in 2005 to LE 126,268 million in 2009.

Public debt levels

 

Egypt Government Debt (LE million)

(Source: National Statistics: pg 1 (2005-08),National Statistics(2009))

Egyptian government’s debt level increased from 2005 to 2009, with a debt level of LE 612,174 million in 2009.

Official exchange rate

LE/USD (March 2011)

Weighted Average

Minimum

Maximum

5.9175

5.9160

5.9195

(Source: Central Bank)

As of 2011, exchange rate of the Egyptian Pound (LE) per USD is recorded at 5.91.

Government finances

Fiscal balance

 

Egypt Fiscal balance (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank: Sheet 1)

From 2007 to 2009 the Egyptian government’s fiscal deficit increased steadily. In 2009, the deficit was recorded at LE 68,995 million.

Total Revenue

Egypt Total revenue and expenditure (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank: Sheets 2 & 3)

Government expenditure consistently exceeded revenue from 2005 to 2009. In 2009, expenditure was registered at LE 351,500 million and revenue was LE 282,505 million.

Tax revenue

 

Egypt Tax revenue (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank: Sheet 3)

Tax revenue steadily rose from 2005 to 2009.  In 2009, the Egyptian government collected tax revenue worth LE 163,222 million.

Total Grants

 

Egypt Total grants (LE million)

(Source: Central Bank: Sheet 2)

Inflow of grants in Egypt increased from LE 1,846 million in 2005 to LE 4,213 million in 2009.

Current account balance

Egypt Current account balance (USD million)

(Source: Central Bank)

Egypt’s current account balance registered surplus in 2007 and 2008. However, in 2009, the balance declined sharply to a deficit of USD 7,854.5 million. In 2010, deficit was LE 3,600.3 million.

Balance of payments

 

Egypt Balance of payments (USD million)

 

(Source: Central Bank)

From 2008 to 2009, the balance of payments witnessed a sharp fall from a surplus of USD 5,420.40 million to a deficit of USD 5,719.90 million. In 2010, balance surplus was USD 2,070.70 million.

[Top] Labour Force and Employment Overview

Unemployment rate

Egypt Unemployment rate (%)
 
(Source: Worldbank.org(2005-2008),Trading Economics(2009-2010))

Unemployment declined marginally over 2005-2010. In 2010, the rate was registered at 8.92%.

Minimum wage

As of 2010, nationalminimum wage was approximately LE 35 per month.

(Source: All Africa)

Level of unionisation

The single trade union federation in the country is the ‘Egyptian Trade Union Federation’ (ETUF), which is a legally recognised organisation. Collective bargaining is limited in Egypt, however, Union strikes are not forbidden under law.

Collective bargaining and negotiation agreements are the responsibility of Ministry of Manpower and Migration.  

(Source: Ituc-csi.org)

[Top] Political Stability

The country has one of the oldest political systems in the world. The Egyptian Parliament came into existence in 1824, and the Constitution was formulated in 1882. However, it has been amended continually, in 1971, 1980, 2005 and 2007.

The political environment in the country is unstable.

The country’s constitution establishes the roles of the national governing authorities. These authorities are: executive, legislative, judiciary, political parties, press, civil society organizations and local administrative bodies. All of the basic principles are based on Islam’s Shariah Law.

2005 was a year of marked improvement for the Egyptian government. Multiple candidates were permitted to contest in presidential elections. Aditonally, a ten-point programme was launched for national implementation. This program focused on ensuring equality of citizens’ rights, support for low-income groups, improving foreign relations, improving people’s technological abilities and providing better administrative services to citizens. Finally, the roles of the parliament, judiciary and citizens were all reformed.

(Sources: State Information Service, BBC)

Regulatory environment

Egypt Economic Freedom Indices

(Source: Heritage.org)

Egypt has the world’s 96th freest economy on the 2011 Economic Freedom Index with a score of 59.1.The country stands 11th amongst the 17 countries in Middle East/North Africa region. Egypt’s total score falls below world and regional averages.

(Source: Heritage.org)

 
Corruption perceptions
The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) is a survey that measures the perceived level of corruption across countries worldwide.Egypt is 98th among 178 countries in the 2010 Corruption Perception Index, indicating the corruption level in the country is moderately high. 

 

Freedom of information
In 2010, Egypt was ranked 127th on the Press Freedom Index, with a score of 43.33. The index contains 178 countries with scores ranging from zero, zero implying most freedom, to about 105. Therefore, a score of 43.33 indicates very high restrictions on the media.
(Source: rsf.org)

Judicial system
Egypt has an independent judiciary. Legal framework is based on French and Islamic laws. The judicial system’s highest authority is the Supreme Constitutional Court. The hierarchy continues with the Court of Cessation, seven Courts of Appeal and Summary Tribunals.  Administrative disputes are resolved by the State Council. (Sources: Egyptian Embassy, uam.es)

[Top] Demographic Overview

Egypt’s population grew steadily from 2005 to 2010. In 2010, population of the country is recorded to be 84.5 million. The median age in Egypt was 23.9 years in 2010.

(Source: UNDP, pg 181)

Egypt Population (million)

(Source: Central Bank (2005-08), Worldbank.org (2009), UNDP, pg 181(2010))

Gender ratio at birth                             

The gender ratio was 104.7 male births (per 100 female births) in 2010.

(Source: UNDP, pg 181)

Population by age group

The population for below 14 years of age made up 32.3% of the total population in 2010. In the same year, 7.7% of women and 6.9% of men (% of total population) were aged above 60 years of age.

(Source: UN)

Mortality rate

In 2010, under-5 mortality rate was recorded at 23 (per 1000 births). The mortality rate was registered at 6 (per thousand people) in 2009.

(Source: UNDP, World Bank)

Crude birth rate

Egypt’s crude birth rate was registered at 24 (per thousand people) in 2009.

(Source: World Bank)

Life expectancy

Life expectancy was 70.5 years in 2010.

(Source: UNDP)

Dependency ratio

In 2010, 58.1% of population was recorded as a dependent population.

(Source: UNDP, pg 181)

Urbanisation                     

In 2010, 43.4% is classified as urban.

(Source: UNDP, pg 181)

Human development index (HDI)

The country is ranked 101st on United Nation’s 2010 Human Development Index. It falls in the category of ‘Medium Human Development.’ HDI integrates a country’s life expectancy, schooling and income. This signifies the overall social and economic development of a nation. A rank between 86 and 127 indicates ‘medium human development’ on UNDP’s Index.

(Source: UNDP, pg 140)

[Top] Soft Infrastructure

Literacy rate

The country’s literacy is 66%.

(Source: UNICEF)

Education

Egypt’s constitution establishes the basic national education framework.  Equality and equal opportunity are the governing principles of Egypt’s education system.  The state declares education as free in all state institutions. ‘Ministry of Education’ is the governing authority of the education system. The body is in charge of the education budget, policies, syllabus, evaluation mechanism and prescribed texts. The ministry operates in co-operation with other ministries and higher institutes of education.  

Eight years of education is mandatory. However, the government has plans to extend compulsory education to higher levels.

Higher education is managed by the ‘Ministry of Higher Education’. Educational directorates govern staff and healthcare issues. The ‘Centre for Developing Curricula and Educational Materials’ prepares and modifies educational content, working in co-ordination with advisory committees. ‘The Supreme Council of Universities’ is responsible for the management of universities. ‘The National Centre for Educational Research and Development’ carries out educational research that provides support to the process of making educational policies.

Majority of the financial support of Egypt’s education system is derived from the government. Public contributions towards education are also encouraged by the government.

In 2010, Egypt’s adult literacy rate is registered at 66.4%.

(Sources: ibe.unesco, undp.org)

Health

The ‘Ministry of Health and Population’ (MOHP), established in 1936, is the governing authority of Egypt’s healthcare system. It functions across four levels- the Central, the Health Directorates, Health Districts and Health care providers.

The sectors operating at the Central level are:

  • The Health Care and Nursing sector
  • The Minister’s Office Affairs
  • The Curative Health sector
  • The Preventive Health sector
  • The Health Regions sector
  • The Training and Research sector
  • The Preventive Affairs and Endemic Diseases sector

Egypt’s health care system is funded mainly through the Ministry of Finance. The ministry distributes approximately 40% of the allocated budget to public sector authorities such as the Ministry of Education, the Curative Care Organisation, teaching hospitals, the Health Insurance Organisation and other ministries.

The MOHP has collaborated with many international organizations including WHO (World Health Organization), the World Bank, EU and UNICEF to create health awareness across the nation. It also has bilateral agreements with Germany, Italy, Norway, Denmark and the Netherlands.

(Source: Ministry of Health, who.int)

[Top] Hard Infrastructure

Road

In 2008, the total length of paved roads in Egypt was measured at 91,173 km.

(Source: National Statistics)

Railways

There were 159 units of subway passenger trains in 2007.

Rail Cargo transport (2007):

Means of transport

Units

Trains

11,093

Locomotives

701

Wagons

329,276

 

(Source: National Statistics)

Cargo transport within Egypt is mainly carried out by rail wagons, trains and locomotives.

Airway

Egypt has 29 airports. Some of Egypt’s main airports are located in Abu Simbel, Alexandria, Aswan, Asyut, Cairo, El Arish, Hurghada, Shark El Oweinat, Sharm El Sheikh and Taba. 

(Source: Aircraft World Charter)

Aircraft Movement

 

2005

2006

2007

2008

International Airports

223,144

234,474

274,056

316,487

Local Airports

19,163

34,468

30,795

33,300

Total

242,307

268,942

304,851

349,787

(Source: National Statistics)

Aircraft movement in both local and international airports has consistently increased from 2005 to 2008.

Telecommunication

 

2008

2009

Telephone subscribers (ground line)

11

12

Cellular phone subscribers

32

45

Internet Users

11

14

(Source: National Statistics)

Number of telephone, mobile and internet users have increased from 2008 to 2009.

Telecom Egypt is a key fixed line operator. However, fixed line installations are likely to reduce with the popularity of cellular and internet communication. As of 2010, approximately 17.06 million out of 80.47 million, or 21.2% of population, were internet users.

(Source: Internet World Stats)

Main broadband developments in Egypt include: access to ADSL2+ services to all households, liberalised VoIP telephony, 2G and 3G services and Next Generation Network (NGN) installation for convergence of data and voice services.

(Source: Internet World Stats)

Euromoney country risk banner
 
All material subject to strictly enforced copyright laws.
© 2017 Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC.